Consider the 2012 presidential election. Various polls showed that only around 10% of registered voters claimed to be undecided in the two months prior to Election Day. Of those 10%, approximately ... The current study presents evidence that partisan campaign strategies in US presidential elections have shifted in recent years to reflect a growing emphasis on base mobilization compared to persuading independent, undecided or swing voters. Pursuing reliable supporters appears to be increasingly desirable for political campaigns, especially since 2000, relative to the risky and uncertain ... Donald Trump é um dos principais candidatos presidenciais, e Bill OReilly, um jornalista e repórter, não tem escrúpulos em bater Trump. ORe... The 2012 election had a similar type of thinking going in. Some bet on a Romney win and a similar pop in stocks due to deregulation and lower tax rates. Romney didn’t win, but the market was still up over the coming four years. Going beyond elections and market direction. Election-related investing goes beyond just market direction. Next, I analyze county-level election results for the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections from David Leip’s Election Atlas ... (Trump vs. all other options including non-voting) Obama 2012 voters Romney 2012 voters Other 2012 voters (or non -voters) Non-Hispanic White Non-Hispanic Black Asian; Top quartile Hispanic pct. point growth '00 to '10-14 (county-level) Coefficient: 0.019: 0.027** 0 ... Trading Strategies and Market Microstructure: Evidence from a Prediction Market David M. Rothschildy Rajiv Sethiz November 22, 2015 Abstract We examine transaction-level data from Intrade’s 2012 presidential winner market for the en-tire two-year period for which trading occurred. The data allow us to compute key statistics, including volume, transactions, aggression, directional exposure ... $100 on Four More Years On Dec. 19, Nadex, the North American Derivatives Exchange, filed to offer tradable options on major presidential candidates and party control of the U.S. House and U.S ... Start studying POLS 1101. Learn vocabulary, terms, and more with flashcards, games, and other study tools. The Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll (CPEP) implemented an innovative way to forecast the results of the November 6, 2012, U.S. presidential election. CPEP’s main innovations are that respondents were asked to express their percent chance of voting in the election as well as their percent chance of voting for each candidate and that the study was conducted within a panel. The use ... The number of options available to news consumers has grown dramatically as content from ever-increasing sources is distributed via print, television, radio, computers, tablets, and mobile devices. More Americans are seeking news and political information since the 2016 presidential election and the turbulent times that have followed than at other periods in the past decade. At the same time ...
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